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  • Universe: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, LINK, AVAX, DOGE, ADA
  • Split (fixed): IS < 2025-07-01, OOS >= 2025-07-01
  • Costs: 8 bps/side, lag-1, daily rebalance
  • Funding window 2024-06-01..2026-09-18 (IS is short — stated, not hidden)
MechanismSegRetSharpeMaxDDPFdaysboot p
F1 Funding-crowd XS L/SIS-62.0%-1.35-63.3%0.81395nan
F1 Funding-crowd XS L/SOOS-37.5%-0.93-53.0%0.874450.844
F2 Funding timer long-onlyIS+24.8%0.79-25.6%1.35395nan
F2 Funding timer long-onlyOOS-22.3%-0.73-34.7%0.794450.796
F3 Funding XS long-onlyIS-2.4%-0.17-10.6%0.98395nan
F3 Funding XS long-onlyOOS-7.8%-0.76-16.5%0.894450.807

Multiple-testing note: 4th batch (6+4+6+3 = 19 trials). Any positive OOS Sharpe now needs a DSR/multiplicity haircut.