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Window 2017-01-24..2026-06-26 (2369 days). Daily net returns, sqrt(252). Book = flagship + PEAD + TSY + crypto. Rule: ADDS if at w<=0.25 in the EW book Sharpe +>=0.05 or maxDD +>=1.0pp, with |corr|<0.5 to every sleeve.

Sleeves

SleeveSharpeCAGRmaxDDcorrFlagship
Flagship0.56+9.1%-39.4%1.00
PEAD0.93+11.9%-18.4%0.02
TSY0.37+1.6%-12.2%-0.03
Crypto1.08+34.8%-29.8%0.02
H101.03+12.8%-16.1%0.02

Pairwise correlation

          Flagship  PEAD   TSY  Crypto   H10
Flagship      1.00  0.02 -0.03    0.02  0.02
PEAD          0.02  1.00  0.00    0.15  0.72
TSY          -0.03  0.00  1.00    0.01  0.01
Crypto        0.02  0.15  0.01    1.00  0.13
H10           0.02  0.72  0.01    0.13  1.00

Combined book

BookSharpeCAGRmaxDD
4-sleeve equal-weight1.41+15.4%-20.4%
4-sleeve risk-parity0.56+2.1%-11.3%
+H10 equal-weight1.52+15.0%-18.2%
+H10 risk-parity0.64+2.6%-11.7%

H10 weight sweep into the 4-sleeve EW book

w(H10)SharpeCAGRmaxDD
0.051.45+15.3%-19.9%
0.101.47+15.2%-19.3%
0.201.52+15.0%-18.2%
0.251.53+14.9%-17.7%

Verdict: NO-ADD

  • best H10 weight 0.25: Sharpe 1.53 vs EW4 1.41; maxDD -17.7% vs -20.4%.
  • H10 corr to sleeves: Flagship 0.02, PEAD 0.72, TSY 0.01, Crypto 0.13.
  • H10+PEAD 50/50 blend Sharpe 1.06 vs PEAD 0.93 / H10 1.03.
  • ADDS -> propose a small H10 sleeve in book_allocator; NO-ADD -> H10 stays a research diversifier, not funded.