Window 2017-01-24..2026-06-26 (2369 days). Daily net returns, sqrt(252). Book = flagship + PEAD + TSY + crypto.
Rule: ADDS if at w<=0.25 in the EW book Sharpe +>=0.05 or maxDD +>=1.0pp, with |corr|<0.5 to every sleeve.
| Sleeve | Sharpe | CAGR | maxDD | corrFlagship |
|---|
| Flagship | 0.56 | +9.1% | -39.4% | 1.00 |
| PEAD | 0.93 | +11.9% | -18.4% | 0.02 |
| TSY | 0.37 | +1.6% | -12.2% | -0.03 |
| Crypto | 1.08 | +34.8% | -29.8% | 0.02 |
| H10 | 1.03 | +12.8% | -16.1% | 0.02 |
Flagship PEAD TSY Crypto H10
Flagship 1.00 0.02 -0.03 0.02 0.02
PEAD 0.02 1.00 0.00 0.15 0.72
TSY -0.03 0.00 1.00 0.01 0.01
Crypto 0.02 0.15 0.01 1.00 0.13
H10 0.02 0.72 0.01 0.13 1.00
| Book | Sharpe | CAGR | maxDD |
|---|
| 4-sleeve equal-weight | 1.41 | +15.4% | -20.4% |
| 4-sleeve risk-parity | 0.56 | +2.1% | -11.3% |
| +H10 equal-weight | 1.52 | +15.0% | -18.2% |
| +H10 risk-parity | 0.64 | +2.6% | -11.7% |
| w(H10) | Sharpe | CAGR | maxDD |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.45 | +15.3% | -19.9% |
| 0.10 | 1.47 | +15.2% | -19.3% |
| 0.20 | 1.52 | +15.0% | -18.2% |
| 0.25 | 1.53 | +14.9% | -17.7% |
- best H10 weight 0.25: Sharpe 1.53 vs EW4 1.41; maxDD -17.7% vs -20.4%.
- H10 corr to sleeves: Flagship 0.02, PEAD 0.72, TSY 0.01, Crypto 0.13.
- H10+PEAD 50/50 blend Sharpe 1.06 vs PEAD 0.93 / H10 1.03.
- ADDS -> propose a small H10 sleeve in book_allocator; NO-ADD -> H10 stays a research diversifier, not funded.