← all research

Alpaca 1Hour caches, ~2025-07..2026-09, 1-bar XS momentum, dollar-neutral K=20, OOS = last 40% of bars.

Gridnamesbars/yrgross SRnet1net2net10turn/bar
RTH all-eq50117641.970.42-1.13-13.533.53
RTH+pre5013024-2.95-5.21-7.48-25.652.65
RTH+post5012766-4.67-7.16-9.64-29.222.95
RTH+all5014026-9.84-12.83-15.81-39.372.57

Same grids with the sign flipped (1-bar XS REVERSAL):

Gridnamesbars/yrgross SRnet1net2net10turn/bar
RTH all-eq (reversal)5011764-1.97-3.52-5.07-17.443.53
RTH+pre (reversal)50130242.00-0.17-2.34-19.302.65
RTH+post (reversal)50127666.694.372.06-16.262.95
RTH+all (reversal)501402610.227.394.57-17.652.57

Where the gross is, and what each hour costs

Per-bar gross (bps) of the RTH+all book, and the Roll half-spread implied by 1h returns on that segment's bars.

Segmentbarsgross bps/barRoll ½-spread bps
pre 04-081250-6.81313.58
RTH 09-151750-0.9217.36
post 16-19994-20.40718.12

Universe size (RTH-only, live grid)

Universenamesgross SRnet1net2turn/bar
live 101990.44-2.07-4.593.08
top150 by $vol1500.33-1.14-2.623.25
top250 by $vol2500.19-1.34-2.883.42
all 5015011.970.42-1.133.53

Equities + crypto (the 8 _USD pairs) in one XS book

Booknamesbarsgross SRnet1net2turn/bar
eq+crypto RTH grid50917502.430.87-0.693.47
eq+crypto 24/7 grid50986711.28-0.44-2.160.63

Read: compare the pre/post segment gross bps/bar against its Roll ½-spread. Extended-hours bars only help if gross clears the much wider pre/post spread; watch the net columns for the same. The universe table shows whether the RTH edge survives a wider name set (top-N ranked by median RTH dollar volume).