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RUN ONCE — do not re-tune, do not re-run (seed 424242, 100 virgin names 2025-08-14->2026-08-12)

  • Total return: -1.73% | CAGR -1.75% | MaxDD 1.8%
  • PF 0.57 | Sharpe -4.35 | Trades 1158 | Beta -0.00
YearPanelSPYExcess
2025-0.5%+6.0%-6.5%
2026-1.2%+13.1%-14.3%

Gate 2 verdict: HOLDOUT EDGE NOT CONFIRMED