← all research
STUDY

"Panel Run-Once Locked Holdout"

2026-08-13

RUN ONCE — do not re-tune, do not re-run (seed 424242, 100 virgin names 2025-08-14->2026-08-12) | INTRADAY LABEL (variant 3)

YearPanelSPYExcess
2025-0.7%+6.0%-6.8%
2026-1.2%+13.1%-14.3%

Gate 2 verdict: HOLDOUT EDGE NOT CONFIRMED