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"PANEL-I PnL decomposition (walk names b, frozen V1 model)"

2026-08-14

Generated: 2026-08-14 10:24 | test 2025-12-01..2026-08-13

Cost experiment (10bp round trip default vs 0)

runPFtradestotal retmax_ddwin%
V1 full-cost0.772560-14.8%15.2%44.1%

V1 full-cost — by side / entry hour

entry ETpnln
09:30$-5852653
11:00$+17839
11:30$-3575
12:30$-6185565
13:00$-24818
monthpnln
2025-12$-4207371
2026-01$-4880359
2026-02$+880334
2026-03$-4258216

| V1 zero-cost | 0.92 | 6202 | -9.9% | 12.4% | 49.2% |

V1 zero-cost — by side / entry hour

entry ETpnln
09:30$-79721608
11:00$-10360
11:30$-11815
12:00$-1214
12:30$-13521396
13:00$-26818
monthpnln
2025-12$-688383
2026-01$-2555353
2026-02$+1848336
2026-03$-1391383
2026-04$-3411379
2026-05$-1748358
2026-06$-1396373
2026-07$-714395
2026-08$+122141

| V2 flip full-cost | 0.88 | 4434 | -15.3% | 15.3% | 46.6% |

V2 flip full-cost — by side / entry hour

entry ETpnln
09:30$-30091139
11:00$-157667
11:30$-35212
12:00$+912
12:30$-6385978
13:00$-1119
monthpnln
2025-12$-5860373
2026-01$-744346
2026-02$-1841334
2026-03$-514378
2026-04$+444355
2026-05$-160345
2026-06$-256786

| V2 flip zero-cost | 1.01 | 6160 | +0.9% | 8.9% | 49.5% |

V2 flip zero-cost — by side / entry hour

entry ETpnln
09:30$+11641585
11:00$-75081
11:30$+27218
12:00$+313
12:30$+1841373
13:00$-5120
monthpnln
2025-12$-1496380
2026-01$+1962357
2026-02$+3271339
2026-03$-1776380
2026-04$+1018362
2026-05$+4263361
2026-06$-1375374
2026-07$-5010383
2026-08$-7144