Read-only snapshot of every live realistic-edge shadow vs its pre-registered promotion bar.
| candidate | evidence now | promotion bar | ready? |
|---|---|---|---|
| C7 stress hedge | 18 d shadow, 0 active | 30d+ incl a down month, proxy-vs-book beta confirm, sign-off | NO |
| book overlay (wall+thin) | 2 cycles, skips 2, thins 0 | live paper confirm of OOS lift (p<0.05) before enable | NO (needs live lift) |
| exec timing | 8/100 fills (0935 -25.53bp p=0.828 n=8; 1030 -42.53bp p=0.938 n=6; 1550 -75.05bp p=0.923 n=8; close -68.53bp p=0.841 n=8) | n>=100 AND 50%-haircut mean > 2 bps AND p<0.05 | NO |
| FOMC overnight | 5/24 events | 24 events AND mean net/event>0 AND hit>=50% AND slippage<=5bps | NO |
Combined config (book + C7)
reports/eqmom_overlay_stack.md: OOS Sharpe 1.23, maxDD -20.9%, Calmar 1.35 vs base 0.89. Wired behind EQMOM_BOOK_OVERLAY and EQMOM_SPY_HEDGE (both default off). Blocked on the book live-lift gate and the C7 shadow clock.
Reading
- Every candidate is blocked on FORWARD data, not on more backtesting. The dashboard is the one place to watch them.
- To promote: flip the corresponding flag after its bar clears (operator sign-off; paper only).