GATE — live sleeve
A long-or-cash trend rule on Bitcoin: hold while price is above its 200-day average and momentum is positive, otherwise sit in cash. Built to sidestep bear markets.
Backtest +143.3% total (2021–26) · — · −21.1%·Live −0.41% · 0.13 · −10.98%·Read paper →·Dashboard →
A long-or-cash trend rule on Bitcoin: hold while price is above its 200-day average and momentum is positive, otherwise sit in cash. Built to sidestep bear markets.
Bitcoin.
Daily.
Backtest includes trading costs. Live fills are paper.
Backtest +143% versus +115% for buy-and-hold, with −21% max drawdown versus −77%. Flat through the 2022 and 2026 downturns.
| Sleeve | Aug 26 | Sep 26 | Oct 26* | Total | Positive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC Trend Overlay | +1.1 | +6.5 | -7.2 | -0.1% | 67% |
* Current month is partial.
Today, month-to-date, last month, year-to-date and year-over-year returns by sleeve, with day-by-day history.
| Sleeve | Today | Prev day | MTD | Last mo | YTD | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC Trend Overlay | +0.18% | +0.70% | −7.19% | +6.48% | — | — |
| S&P 500 | — | −1.79% | −0.87% | −0.59% | — | — |
Today is live vs the prior close; weekends show — until the next session. MTD/YTD anchor on the prior month/year-end close; YoY needs ~1y of history. The vs S&P 500 view subtracts the benchmark's same-period return.
| Equity | vs S&P 500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31live | $9,991.59 | +0.18% | — |
| 2026-10-30 | $9,973.94 | +0.70% | +2.49pp |
| 2026-10-29 | $9,904.94 | −3.81% | −3.45pp |
| 2026-10-28 | $10,297.34 | −1.25% | −1.58pp |
| 2026-10-27 | $10,427.44 | +1.06% | +0.48pp |
| 2026-10-26 | $10,317.89 | −1.04% | −1.75pp |
| 2026-10-23 | $10,425.99 | −0.52% | +0.03pp |
| 2026-10-22 | $10,479.98 | −2.44% | −1.27pp |
| 2026-10-21 | $10,742.54 | +0.45% | −0.07pp |
| 2026-10-20 | $10,694.38 | +1.67% | +1.35pp |
| Symbol | Qty | Value | % | P&L | P&L % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTCUSD | 0.126 | $9,754.46 | 97.6% | +$16.10 | +0.2% |
| Shown (1) | — | $9,754.46 | 97.6% | +$16.10 | +0.2% |
| Cash | — | $237.13 | 2.4% | — | — |
% of equity · P&L unrealized · positions + cash = 100%
1 position · top 5 = 100% · effective N = 1.0
Gross market value, so both legs of a hedge count. Cash is excluded; P&L in the drill-down is unrealized.
| Time (ET) | Symbol | Side | Qty | Fill | Value | P&L % | P&L $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 12:31 PM | BTC/USD | buy | 0.1264 | $77,246.98 | $9,762.76 | — | — |
| Aug 19, 11:40 AM | ETH/USD | sell | 0.0096 | $2,081.90 | $19.95 | −0.09% | −$0.02 |
| Aug 19, 11:40 AM | ETH/USD | buy | 0.0048 | $2,083.58 | $10.00 | — | — |
| Aug 19, 11:38 AM | ETH/USD | buy | 0.0048 | $2,083.99 | $10.01 | — | — |
Live stats are annualized from daily equity; short windows are noisy. Backtest numbers are from the paper’s full window.