Live dashboard
Every live sleeve in one place: performance today, fills with win-rate analytics, equity curves, drawdown, monthly returns, correlations and methods with live vs backtest.
Runs several sleeves in one shared account: an ETH trend sleeve, six smaller crypto sleeves at 10% each, a 28-ETF trend sleeve, and an adaptive ETH forward test. The numbers shown are the ETF sleeve only, not the whole account.
Ranks 59 large-cap stocks with a machine-learning model that keeps retraining on newer data, then holds the top eight. Live filters keep the inputs clean and cut exposure in bad markets.
A long-or-cash trend rule on Bitcoin: hold while price is above its 200-day average and momentum is positive, otherwise sit in cash. Built to sidestep bear markets.
Buys stocks after the largest positive earnings surprises and holds them about three months, but only while market volatility is below its one-year median. Sits in cash when volatility spikes.
Buys the strongest large-caps by six-month momentum, rebalanced about monthly, and moves to cash when credit markets get stressed. Long only. Live since 2026-09-08.
Trades a daily shortlist from an LLM research model: the top eight names, equal-weighted, long only, filled at the next open. A kill-switch flattens the sleeve at a 5% drawdown. Live since 2026-09-19. The account is shared with the RL allocator test, so the figures shown are account-level.
A forward paper test of an hourly momentum book on US stocks: each hour it goes long the top 20 and short the bottom 20, equal-weight and dollar-neutral. Unproven and expected to lose — the gross signal is weak and the trading costs are heavy. It runs on a reused account to record real fills; the monthly Conviction Stack is the validated cadence.
Intraday, Monday only. Before the open the book ranks the S&P 500 by its weekend gap, buys the 20 biggest gap-down names at the open, and sells them at the close. Costs matter here: only commission-free equities make it viable.
A residual-momentum base book (top-50 large-caps, held about a month) whose weights are tilted by a per-name reinforcement-learning conviction score instead of equal weight. Live since 2026-09-28.
A real brokerage account, mirrored here read-only. Positions are picked by hand with no systematic rule, and deposits or withdrawals never distort the return.
Calendar periods below use the full fetched history, independent of the chart window.
Today, month-to-date, last month, year-to-date and year-over-year returns by sleeve, with day-by-day history.
| Sleeve | Today | Prev day | MTD | Last mo | YTD | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main (shared sleeves) | +0.00% | −0.95% | +1.19% | −1.35% | — | — |
| Flagship ML Rotation | +0.00% | +0.10% | +6.39% | −9.90% | — | — |
| BTC Trend Overlay | +0.03% | +0.70% | −7.33% | +6.48% | — | — |
| PEAD-v2 VIX-gated | +0.00% | −3.81% | +1.01% | −3.02% | — | — |
| Equity Momentum | +0.00% | −1.66% | +1.32% | −0.84% | — | — |
| LLM Watchlist | +0.01% | −0.23% | −2.36% | −0.04% | — | — |
| Hourly 1h Momentum | +0.00% | −0.80% | −3.82% | +0.15% | — | — |
| Monday Gap Bounce | +0.00% | +0.40% | +0.55% | −1.26% | — | — |
| Conviction Stack | +0.00% | −1.00% | −0.12% | −0.38% | — | — |
| Webull Live | — | −2.26% | −1.66% | −0.18% | — | — |
| S&P 500 | — | −1.79% | −0.87% | −0.59% | — | — |
Today is live vs the prior close; weekends show — until the next session. MTD/YTD anchor on the prior month/year-end close; YoY needs ~1y of history. The vs S&P 500 view subtracts the benchmark's same-period return.
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A break means missing data, not flat performance. est badges mark reconstructed Webull history.
| Sleeve | Now | Max | Longest underwater | Max recovered |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main (shared sleeves) | −0.95% | −1.35% | 31d | 2026-10-09 |
| Flagship ML Rotation | −6.34% | −12.54% | 73d | not yet |
| BTC Trend Overlay | −10.33% | −10.98% | 39d | not yet |
| PEAD-v2 VIX-gated | −4.44% | −4.44% | 21d | not yet |
| Equity Momentum | −1.66% | −1.98% | 15d | 2026-10-06 |
| LLM Watchlist | −2.52% | −2.53% | 29d | not yet |
| Hourly 1h Momentum | −3.82% | −3.82% | 31d | not yet |
| Monday Gap Bounce | −0.82% | −3.04% | 39d | not yet |
| Conviction Stack | −1.00% | −1.00% | 17d | not yet |
| Webull Live | −5.41% | −5.41% | 20d | not yet |
| Sleeve | Aug 26 | Sep 26 | Oct 26* | Total | Positive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main (shared sleeves) | — | -1.4 | +1.2 | -0.2% | 50% |
| Flagship ML Rotation | -1.2 | -9.9 | +6.4 | -5.3% | 33% |
| BTC Trend Overlay | +1.1 | +6.5 | -7.3 | -0.2% | 67% |
| PEAD-v2 VIX-gated | — | -3.0 | +1.0 | -2.0% | 50% |
| Equity Momentum | — | -0.8 | +1.3 | +0.5% | 50% |
| LLM Watchlist | — | -0.0 | -2.4 | -2.4% | 0% |
| Hourly 1h Momentum | — | +0.2 | -3.8 | -3.7% | 50% |
| Monday Gap Bounce | — | -1.3 | +0.5 | -0.7% | 50% |
| Conviction Stack | — | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.5% | 0% |
| Webull Live | +2.8 | -0.2 | -1.7 | +0.9% | 33% |
| S&P 500 | -0.8 | -0.6 | -0.9 | -2.2% | 0% |
* Current month is partial.
| Main (shared sleeves) | Flagship ML Rotation | BTC Trend Overlay | PEAD-v2 VIX-gated | Equity Momentum | LLM Watchlist | Hourly 1h Momentum | Monday Gap Bounce | Conviction Stack | Webull Live | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main (shared sleeves) | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.53 | 0.63 | 0.39 | -0.03 | 0.16 | 0.63 | 0.47 | 0.82 |
| Flagship ML Rotation | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.25 | 0.16 | -0.06 | -0.08 | 0.46 | 0.38 | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| BTC Trend Overlay | 0.22 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.54 | 0.10 | 0.07 | -0.17 | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| PEAD-v2 VIX-gated | 0.53 | 0.25 | 0.09 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.27 | 0.05 | 0.51 | 0.77 | 0.17 | 0.56 |
| Equity Momentum | 0.63 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.07 | -0.02 | 0.73 | 0.61 | 0.76 |
| LLM Watchlist | 0.39 | -0.06 | 0.54 | 0.27 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 0.26 | 0.53 |
| Hourly 1h Momentum | -0.03 | -0.08 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.15 | 1.00 | -0.17 | 0.19 | -0.12 | 0.07 |
| Monday Gap Bounce | 0.16 | 0.46 | 0.07 | 0.51 | -0.02 | 0.17 | -0.17 | 1.00 | 0.11 | -0.13 | 0.13 |
| Conviction Stack | 0.63 | 0.38 | -0.17 | 0.77 | 0.73 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.60 |
| Webull Live | 0.47 | 0.16 | 0.34 | 0.17 | 0.61 | 0.26 | -0.12 | -0.13 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| S&P 500 | 0.82 | 0.30 | 0.46 | 0.56 | 0.76 | 0.53 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
Daily returns correlation, overlapping window. 1 = perfect, 0 = none, −1 = inverse.
Live metrics use the All window.
| Sleeve | Method | Backtest | Live | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main (shared sleeves) | Runs several sleeves in one shared account: an ETH trend sleeve, six smaller crypto sleeves at 10% each, a 28-ETF trend sleeve, and an adaptive ETH forward test. The numbers shown are the ETF sleeve only, not the whole account.Trend: price > 200-day average and 60-day return > 0 · Inverse-volatility sizing · Rebalanced monthly | +4.2% ETF leg (EW) · 0.66 · −12.3% | −1.18% · -0.16 · −1.35% | Methodology →Paper → |
| Flagship ML Rotation | Ranks 59 large-cap stocks with a machine-learning model that keeps retraining on newer data, then holds the top eight. Live filters keep the inputs clean and cut exposure in bad markets.59 large-cap names · Two forecast horizons, blended · Top 8, equal-weight | +28.1% (2021–26 OOS, a_k8) · 1.26 · −19.4% | −21.45% · -1.07 · −12.54% | Methodology →Paper → |
| BTC Trend Overlay | A long-or-cash trend rule on Bitcoin: hold while price is above its 200-day average and momentum is positive, otherwise sit in cash. Built to sidestep bear markets.Bitcoin only · Trend: price > 200-day average and 60-day return > 0 · Long or cash only | +143.3% total (2021–26) · — · −21.1% | −1.16% · 0.11 · −10.98% | Methodology →Paper → |
| PEAD-v2 VIX-gated | Buys stocks after the largest positive earnings surprises and holds them about three months, but only while market volatility is below its one-year median. Sits in cash when volatility spikes.Top-quintile positive earnings surprises · Hold about 60 trading days · Volatility gate to cash | +42.0% cum (2023+ OOS) · 1.01 · −11.5% | −12.35% · -0.45 · −4.44% | Methodology →Paper → |
| Equity Momentum | Buys the strongest large-caps by six-month momentum, rebalanced about monthly, and moves to cash when credit markets get stressed. Long only. Live since 2026-09-08.Six-month momentum · Top decile, equal-weight · Rebalanced about monthly | +1065% base (OOS) · 1.25 · −41% | +3.23% · 0.38 · −1.98% | Methodology →Paper → |
| LLM Watchlist | Trades a daily shortlist from an LLM research model: the top eight names, equal-weighted, long only, filled at the next open. A kill-switch flattens the sleeve at a 5% drawdown. Live since 2026-09-19. The account is shared with the RL allocator test, so the figures shown are account-level.Up to 15 LLM-nominated names · Equal-weight, long only · Next-open fills | — · — · — | −14.43% · -4.33 · −2.53% | Methodology → |
| Hourly 1h Momentum | A forward paper test of an hourly momentum book on US stocks: each hour it goes long the top 20 and short the bottom 20, equal-weight and dollar-neutral. Unproven and expected to lose — the gross signal is weak and the trading costs are heavy. It runs on a reused account to record real fills; the monthly Conviction Stack is the validated cadence.Hourly momentum · Long top 20 / short bottom 20 · Equal-weight, dollar-neutral | REJECT — net −97% OOS @10bps · 1.61 gross (net negative) · −97% | −26.71% · -7.89 · −3.82% | Methodology →Paper → |
| Monday Gap Bounce | Intraday, Monday only. Before the open the book ranks the S&P 500 by its weekend gap, buys the 20 biggest gap-down names at the open, and sells them at the close. Costs matter here: only commission-free equities make it viable.Monday only · Top 20 gap-downs · Buy at the open, sell at the close | +57% (OOS, 2bps) · 0.50 · −26.7% | −5.78% · -1.04 · −3.04% | Methodology →Paper → |
| Conviction Stack | A residual-momentum base book (top-50 large-caps, held about a month) whose weights are tilted by a per-name reinforcement-learning conviction score instead of equal weight. Live since 2026-09-28.Top 50 by residual momentum · Held about 21 trading days · Reinforcement-learning weighting | +4345% (OOS 2016+) · 1.68 · −33% | −4.89% · -1.14 · −1.00% | Methodology → |
| Webull Live | A real brokerage account, mirrored here read-only. Positions are picked by hand with no systematic rule, and deposits or withdrawals never distort the return.Real brokerage (not paper) · Discretionary, no fixed rule · Long-only US equities | — · — · — | +4.10% · 0.41 · −5.41% | Methodology → |
Live CAGR · Sharpe · MaxDD from the same window as the charts. Full parameters, costs, universe and risk on each strategy page.