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MONDAY — live sleeve

Monday Gap Bounce

Intraday, Monday only. Before the open the book ranks the S&P 500 by its weekend gap, buys the 20 biggest gap-down names at the open, and sells them at the close. Costs matter here: only commission-free equities make it viable.

Backtest +57% (OOS, 2bps) · 0.50 · −26.7%·Live −8.63% · -1.62 · −3.04%·Read paper →·Dashboard →

Methodology

Intraday, Monday only. Just before the open it ranks the S&P 500 by its weekend gap and buys the 20 biggest gap-downs, then sells the whole basket at the close.

  • — Monday only
  • — Top 20 gap-downs
  • — Buy at the open, sell at the close
  • — Long only

Universe

Liquid US stocks.

Rebalancing & Costs

Buy at Monday's open, flat by the close. No position the rest of the week.

Costs matter here: only commission-free equities make it viable. Costs scored at 2 bps one-way.

Risk

Backtest +57%, Sharpe 0.50, max drawdown −27%. Capital sits idle six days a week and capacity is small.

Equity curve vs S&P 500

indexed to 100
Equity curves for 1 sleeve(s) vs S&P 500, indexed to 100.

Drawdown

from peak · same window
Drawdown from peak for 1 sleeve(s) vs S&P 500.

Monthly returns

heat map
Monthly returns heat map by account.
SleeveSep 26Oct 26*TotalPositive
Monday Gap Bounce
-1.3
+0.2
-1.1%50%

* Current month is partial.

-5%+5%

Daily performance

today · MTD · MoM · YTD · YoY + history

Today, month-to-date, last month, year-to-date and year-over-year returns by sleeve, with day-by-day history.

Absolute returns
SleeveTodayPrev dayMTDLast moYTDYoY
Monday Gap Bounce+0.05%+0.47%+0.20%−1.26%——
S&P 500−1.62%−0.36%−0.70%−0.59%——

Today is live vs the prior close; weekends show — until the next session. MTD/YTD anchor on the prior month/year-end close; YoY needs ~1y of history. The vs S&P 500 view subtracts the benchmark's same-period return.

Monday Gap Bounce

Equityvs S&P 500
2026-10-30live$9,894.23+0.05%+1.68pp
2026-10-29$9,888.80+0.47%+0.83pp
2026-10-28$9,842.73+0.02%−0.32pp
2026-10-27$9,841.09+0.37%−0.21pp
2026-10-26$9,804.44+0.20%−0.51pp
2026-10-23$9,785.21−0.21%+0.33pp
2026-10-22$9,806.27+0.49%+1.67pp
2026-10-21$9,758.40+0.19%−0.33pp
2026-10-20$9,739.49+0.28%−0.05pp
2026-10-19$9,712.70−0.05%−0.48pp

Holdings

top positions by value
SymbolQtyValue%P&LP&L %
GM5.000$435.954.4%+$22.20+5.4%
MGM14.000$417.064.2%−$42.56−9.3%
LYB6.000$396.244.0%+$42.90+12.1%
WDC1.000$367.393.7%−$65.36−15.1%
CF3.000$363.333.7%+$11.31+3.2%
LEN4.000$347.043.5%+$39.96+13.0%
ARE8.000$321.963.3%−$107.96−25.1%
GL2.000$318.723.2%+$5.18+1.6%
UAL3.000$307.293.1%+$10.80+3.6%
LDOS2.000$284.662.9%+$47.26+19.9%
STLD1.000$249.992.5%+$11.17+4.7%
CTSH3.000$196.222.0%−$16.64−7.8%
SKYD25.000$195.882.0%−$19.88−9.2%
DG1.000$131.721.3%−$1.18−0.9%
Shown (14)—$4,333.4543.8%−$62.80−1.4%
Cash—$5,560.7956.2%——

% of equity · P&L unrealized · positions + cash = 100%

Exposure

gross market value · click a slice to drill in

Concentration

Largest holdings of Monday Gap Bounce by gross market value, with the rest grouped as Other.

14 positions · top 5 = 46% · effective N = 13.0

Sector

Sector exposure of Monday Gap Bounce by gross market value. Expand a sector for its holdings.

Gross market value, so both legs of a hedge count. Cash is excluded; P&L in the drill-down is unrealized.

Trade history

all 14 fills · newest first
Win rate
—
no closed sells w/ cost
Avg win / loss
—
per closed sell w/ cost
Profit factor
—
gross profit / gross loss
Realized P&L
—
matching buys outside lookback
Time (ET)SymbolSideQtyFillValueP&L %P&L $
Oct 26, 9:30 AMUALbuy3$98.83$296.49——
Oct 26, 9:30 AMDGbuy1$132.90$132.90——
Oct 26, 9:30 AMGLbuy2$156.77$313.54——
Oct 26, 9:30 AMCTSHbuy3$70.95$212.85——
Oct 5, 9:30 AMLDOSbuy2$118.70$237.40——
Oct 5, 9:30 AMWDCbuy1$432.75$432.75——
Sep 28, 9:30 AMCFbuy3$117.34$352.02——
Sep 28, 9:30 AMLYBbuy6$58.89$353.34——
Sep 28, 9:30 AMMGMbuy14$32.83$459.62——
Sep 21, 9:30 AMSTLDbuy1$238.82$238.82——
Sep 21, 9:30 AMPSKYbuy25$10.68$267.00——
Sep 21, 9:30 AMAREbuy8$53.74$429.92——
Sep 21, 9:30 AMGMbuy5$82.75$413.75——
Sep 21, 9:30 AMLENbuy4$76.77$307.08——

Live stats

same window as chart
·

Live CAGR

−8.63%
Backtest +57% (OOS, 2bps)
·

Live Sharpe

-1.62
Backtest 0.50
·

Live MaxDD

−3.04%
Backtest −26.7%

Live stats are annualized from daily equity; short windows are noisy. Backtest numbers are from the paper’s full window.

All trading described is paper (simulated). Not investment advice. Live vs backtest divergence is expected; costs, slippage, and regime changes matter.

Research →Dashboard →